洪水对Brisbane房地产市场的影响

pinxinge

source: abc.net.au

Floods to shake up Brisbane property market
By finance reporters Alicia Barry and Elysse Morgan
Updated Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:14am AEDT

                               
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Volunteers help clean a house in Fairfield, Brisbane. (ABC: Tim Leslie)

• Map: Brisbane 4000

Renters in Brisbane and those trying to sell homes in low lying areas of the city are expected to find it tough in the short term, according to property analysts.
But over the longer term the Queensland floods are not expected to have a major impact on Brisbane's real estate prices.
RP Data says buyers already know the risks of living in a waterfront location, so those properties overlooking the Brisbane River are unlikely to experience too much price movement in the near term.
"People know that rivers flood and when you live on a river you run the risk of getting some flood damage on your property," RP Data director Cameron Kusher said.
"So I don't think it's those properties that will drop in price, I think they'll probably stagnate and you won't see too much growth or too much backward movement in prices."
But the property research firm predicts that over the next five years homes further away from the river in low lying areas could lose as much as 10 per cent of their value.
"You could see some heavy discounting from those looking to sell and the pool of buyers for those properties is likely to be a little bit smaller," RP Data director Cameron Kusher said.
"I'd probably expect that over the next five years, the buzz words will be "flood report" or "Is this property likely to flood?" when anyone is looking to buy a property."
According to RP Data, the median house price in Brisbane is $432,900, which dipped 0.7 per cent over the course of 2010.
RP Data expects that the floods will keep sellers on the sidelines as the clean-up becomes the focus.
Cameron Kusher says he does not expect housing stock to spill on to the market and it is simply a matter of time before the property market returns to normal.
"People have a bit of a memory, but it tends to be a short memory. So it will only be a few years, five years at the most, that people will really focus on those flood reports," he said.
Floods put pressure on rents
For renters though, property is set to get a lot more expensive as more people enter the market during the re-building and re-construction phase the city is entering.
RP Data says that pressure, along with higher interest rates, could see rental rates increase in excess of 5 per cent this year.
"Particularly in inner city areas where the vacancy rate is already so tight, people will have to start looking for that area five to ten kilometres from the city," Cameron Kusher said.
"There's not a lot of units or even houses in those areas, they tend to be a lot more owner occupier focused, so it will be a little bit difficult for some people to find rental accommodation."

nizi

政府之间还在讨论呢，布里斯本市政府要讨回一些公道。

lisa2008

原帖由 pinxinge 于 19-1-2011 10:20 发表

                               
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But the property research firm predicts that over the next five years homes further away from the river in low lying areas could lose as much as 10 per cent of their value.

this is pretty much if considering other properties may have a 10 percent increase of their value in 5 years. If further considering the costs on inflation and loan, the lost may be even more.